2015年！西雅图房产从未如此火爆！
I’d like to introduce a new chart. The “Residential Real Estate Heat Index” is an index I’ve been calculating for a few years, that originally was part of the now-defunct Sound Housing Quarterly newsletter. It rolls changes in the median price, new listings, total inventory, pending sales and closed sales all into a single number to measure the relative “heat” of the market.
今天我们将推荐一份全新的表格：“自住房产热门指数”，这份指数是SeattleBubble的作者Tim通过房产中位价、新上市房产、总上市房产数量、已预订房产数，已售出房产这些数据使用一定的算法计算后得出这一个简洁的数字来展示房产市场的“热”。
Here’s what it looks like for King County single-family homes and condos.
下面是金县（大西雅图地区）2000年到2015年房产市场的热门图表：
At 81.8, the latest King County heat index is nearly double the average during the last bubble (42.6). As with the last bubble, the condo heat index is even more out of control, coming in at 115.6 in the third quarter (88 percent higher than the 61.4 average during the last bubble).
从表中我们可以看到，2015年房产“热”指数达到81.8点，已经是上个泡沫（05年-07年）平均值(42.6)的两倍。而公寓的“热”指数更加疯狂，2015年的第三季度达到了115.6点（相比上一期泡沫的最高点61.4还要高88%!）。根据这点我们可以判断，现在我们正处于另外一个泡沫时期。但是这次跟05到07年还有很多不同的地方，我唯一能确定的是这次以不同的方式结束。
Based on this measure, we are well into another bubble at this point. That said, there are still many factors that are very different from last time, so the only thing I know for sure is that this one won’t end the same way the last one did.
If there’s enough interest, I can compile this chart for other counties as well. Also: If you’re a Seattle Bubble Member, check the shared spreadsheet folder for the full data behind this chart.
如果大家有兴趣，我可以编辑其他地区的图表。另外：如果你是SeattleBubble的会员，可以点击Seattle Bubble Member查看的这个表格背后的完整数据。
原作者：Tim
翻译：Jonah
